Gold- MCX Gold may note some decline tracking cues from international prices. COMEX gold trades modestly lower near $1253/oz after a flat close yesterday. The metal has come under pressure after hitting 3 ½ month high of $1264.9 yesterday. Putting pressure on the prices is caution ahead of Trump’s Speech to Joint Congress late on Tuesday along with rising odds of rate hike by US Fed following hawkish comments by Fed officials. The downside may however be capped amid choppiness in US Dollar along with safe haven demand due to political uncertainty in Euro Zone and US. Also capping the downside is high investor interest as is evident form rise is ETF holdings. For the day we expect the metal to trade sideways to negative amid caution ahead of Trump’s Speech. Market expects US President Trump to unveil tax reforms and plans on infrastructure spending at his today's Speech. If his speech fails to address these maters than we may see rise in Gold's safe haven demand. Also focus today will also be on US data and its impact on US Dollar. Support for MCX Gold April contract is seen at Rs.29450 while Resistance is seen at Rs.29750.
Silver- MCX Silver too may note some decline tracking cues from international exchange however downside remains capped. COMEX Silver trades modestly lower near $18.3/oz after a flat close yesterday. On weaker note weighing on prices is retreat in Gold prices and choppiness in Industrial metals. Also weighing on prices is weak investor interest as is evident from lack of buying in ETF. The downside may however be capped amid choppiness in US Dollar. We expect Silver to witness choppy trade today however bias may be weak in sync with gold prices. Support for MCX Silver March contract is seen at Rs.42700 while Resistance is seen at Rs.43700.
Copper- MCX Copper may continue to witness choppy movement today tracking cues from international exchange. LME Copper trades marginally lower in early trades today after noting modest gains yesterday. Weighing on prices is demand worries from top consumer China along with rising odds of rate hike by US Fed.
Aluminum- MCX Aluminum too may witness mixed trade today tracking cues from international exchange. LME Aluminum trades marginally lower in early trades today following 0.8% gains yesterday. Weighing on prices is modest decline across base metals complex amid demand worries from China and hawkish comments by Fed officials. Also putting pressure on the prices is build up in stocks at SHFE warehouses.
Zinc- MCX Zinc may continue to note volatile movement tracking cues from international exchange. LME Zinc trades little changed in early trades today holding onto yesterday’s 0.8% decline. The metal has come under pressure amid demand worries from China along with growing expectation of rate hike by US Fed
Crude Oil- MCX Crude may note mixed movement in line with international market however overall bias remains weak. NYMEX April crude trades in a narrow range amid mixed cues. On positive note supporting prices is growing optimism that OPEC and Non OPEC members will adhere to production cut. However rise in US production along with expectation of buildup in stocks at US are capping the upside.
Natural Gas- MCX Natural gas may note some gains tracking slight rebound n international exchange however sell on rise is suggested. Weighing on prices is weak weather related demand due to forecast of warm weather in US. However capping the downside is bigger than expected decline in stocks and decline in number of rigs drilling for Natural Gas.